Ken Deen's THE AGGRESSIVE TRADER(tm) "Seeking double-digit profits in one to four months" Vol. 2, No. 61 April 7, 1993 11:00am New York Time ********** Market Stance: Cautiously Bullish ********** ALERT ITEMS: Market Commentary: See below Marginable Account (editor's personal account): No Trades IRA Account (editor's personal account): No Trades DESI(tm) Account (a computer-simulated hypothetical account): No trades DESI(tm) Buy/Sell Signals (computer-generated): None Other Strong Recommendations (These stocks will be tracked and followed up with sell [or cover] alerts.): * Chrysler Corp. (NYSE: C, $41.00) EPS:68, RS:92, GR:28->5, PE:28, Automobile Manufacture ********** Chrysler Corp. The story here is a breakout on heavy volume fueled by excellent news of strong sales in a stock with excellent recent earnings growth, a low valuation based on forward earnings, and a group which is continuing to gain favor. I have recommended Chrysler previously, last year at 22 (see Vol.1 #89). The company continues to be on a roll. On Monday, the company announced a 44% increase in late March sales. Yesterday (Tuesday), the stock closed at 41, up 1 3/4, on twice normal volume. That set a 52-week high, the first new high since Feb. 11. Chrysler does not have the high EPS rank I usually like to see, but it does have excellent recent earnings growth. Here are the last four quarters of sales and earnings: Quarter Ended Sales($mil) Earnings-per-share --------- -------------------- -------------------- Mar 31 92 8189.0 vs 5799.0 +41% -0.52 vs -1.24 +0.72 Jun 30 92 9311.0 vs 7812.0 +19% 0.50 vs -0.95 +1.45 Sep 30 92 9200.0 vs 7600.0 +21% 0.37 vs -0.36 +0.73 Dec 31 92 10200 vs 8159.0 +25% 1.12 vs -0.19 +1.31 Although the P/E of 28 is somewhat high, the price is actually only ten times estimated 1993 earnings of $4.10. Estimates for 1994 earnings are around $5.35. The Automobile-Mfg group is currently ranked 5th out of 199 for six-month price performance, and that ranking has been climbing steadily for the past several weeks. It was in 105th place as recently as Jan. 27. As with all "Other Strong Recommendations", I will follow this stock as if I owned it, and I will issue a sell Alert at some future date, probably three or four months down the road. All rankings in today's alert (earnings-per-share, relative strength, and group) are from Investor's Business Daily. ********** Previous Alert: Vol.2 #60 (April 2, 1993) ********** *** To all who download this newsletter *** On May 1, 1993, this newsletter will be available only for a subscription fee. There will be no further uploads on or after that date. From now through April 30, 1993, I am offering at-cost subscriptions (very very inexpensive) by e-mail, fax, and postal mail. These are alternatives to downloading. E-mail via Internet is free during this trial period. Monthly Status Reports (available in printed form only) are an essential adjunct to these timely bulletins. Among other things, they review the stock holdings and historical performance of each newsletter account. To receive a free sample Monthly Status Report plus an at-cost subscription form, just send your paper mail address. -Ken Deen ********** The Aggressive Trader is edited and published at irregular intervals, but at least monthly, by Deen Capital Management, Inc., P.O. Box 4791, Santa Barbara, California 93140, (805) 565-2039. CompuServe: 72020,2050 Internet: 72020.2050@compuserve.com Deen Capital Management, Inc., its principals, employees, affiliates, and/or clients may have positions in securities recommended herein and may make additional purchases and/or sales in these securities. Recommendations made in this publication involve a high degree of risk and may result in losses. Readers should not assume that recommendations will be profitable or will equal past performance. The information in this publication is collected from sources believed to be reliable, but neither the accuracy nor the completeness of this information is guaranteed. The Aggressive Trader, Deen Earnings Surprise Index, DESI, and DESI-3 are all trademarks of Deen Capital Management, Inc. Copyright (c) 1993 Deen Capital Management, Inc. -END-