Document 2504
 DOCN  M94A2504
 TI    Potentials for HIV epidemic spread in India.
 DT    9412
 AU    Khodakevich L; Lal S; Salil P; Ministry of Health, Government of India.
 SO    Int Conf AIDS. 1994 Aug 7-12;10(1):289 (abstract no. PC0078). Unique
       Identifier : AIDSLINE ICA10/94370071
 AB    OBJECTIVES: In 1992-1993, WHO projected that by the end of the century,
       Asia may become the main focus of AIDS epidemic. India being one of the
       most populous country in this region was considered a significant
       contributor to it. The purpose of this work is to evaluate the potential
       for the epidemic development. METHOD: Basing on the demographic data, we
       stratified the country population into several groups with various
       frequencies of HIV risk practices and quantified these groups. The data
       available on the prevalence rates and progression of HIV infection in
       each group were used for the judgement on the potentials for HIV spread.
       RESULTS: The groups analyses included: (a) female sex workers; (b)
       clients of FSW's in the cities; (c) intercity truck drivers; (d) female
       sex workers serving intercity truck drivers; (e) injecting drug users;
       and (f) men who have sex with men. The population not included in these
       groups of high risk were treated as the general population. The HIV
       prevalence rates currently reported for each group were extrapolated to
       determine the present magnitude of the epidemic and HIV infection
       progression rates were used for the projections. DISCUSSION AND
       CONCLUSION: The amount of individuals with HIV in India places this
       country at a leading place for the absolute number of HIV infections in
       one single country. Through the rates are lower than in thailand or in
       African countries. The combination of the high absolute prevalence and
       rapid increase of the rates observed in female sex workers, injecting
       drug users and truck drivers as well as in the general population
       observed in limited areas offer a good potential for developing a major
       HIV epidemic in this country.
 DE    Female  Homosexuality  Human  HIV Infections/*TRANSMISSION  India  Male
       Prostitution  Substance Abuse, Intravenous/COMPLICATIONS  MEETING
       ABSTRACT

       SOURCE: National Library of Medicine.  NOTICE: This material may be
       protected by Copyright Law (Title 17, U.S.Code).