Document 3035 DOCN M94A3035 TI Prognostic value of CD4+ count and CD8+ T-cell activation in HIV seropositive patients. DT 9412 AU Declercq E; Lavreys L; Kestens L; Vanham G; Colebunders R; Gigase P; Institute of Hygiene and Epidemiology, Brussels, Belgium. SO Int Conf AIDS. 1994 Aug 7-12;10(1):169 (abstract no. PB0101). Unique Identifier : AIDSLINE ICA10/94369540 AB OBJECTIVE: To study the value of CD4+ T-lymphocytes and of the activation markers human leukocyte antigen (HLA)-DR and CD38 antigen on CD8+ cells in predicting the risk to develop clinical AIDS. METHODS: The selected population comes from a set of 753 HIV seropositive patients for whom CD4+ count and expression of CD38 and HLA-DR antigens on CD8+ cells had been measured at the Institute of Tropical Medicine, Antwerp, between 1991 and 1993. A link based on a unique identification code was made between this set of data and the national HIV and AIDS registry in order to recognize which of these patients developed clinical AIDS in the following months. The final study population consists of 278 Belgian HIV seropositive patients who had not been diagnosed as AIDS patients at the time of the measurements. Techniques of survival analysis were used to study the probability of developing AIDS according to CD4+ count and expression of HLA-DR and CD38 antigens. RESULTS: The probability of developing AIDS was significantly lower (p < 0.0001) for the patients with CD4+ count equal to or higher than 400/mm3 than for those with less than 400 CD4+/mm3 (cumulative risk of developing AIDS after 36 months: 24% vs. 37%). No difference was found in the risk of developing AIDS between the patients with high or low expression of HLA-DR antigen. For the patients with less than 400 CD4+/mm3, the risk of developing AIDS was significantly higher (p < 0.001) when there was a high expression of CD38 antigen (cumulative risk of developing AIDS after 36 months: 55% vs. 23%). The same trend, although not statistically significant, was observed for the patients with more than 400 CD4+/mm3 (cumulative risk of developing AIDS after 36 months: 35% vs. 18%). CONCLUSION: Measurement of CD38 expression on CD8+ cells together with CD4+ count could help estimating the individual prognosis than CD4+ count alone in HIV seropositive patients. DE Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome/CLASSIFICATION/DIAGNOSIS/ *IMMUNOLOGY Antigens, CD8/*IMMUNOLOGY Antigens, Differentiation/BLOOD Follow-Up Studies Human HIV Seropositivity/CLASSIFICATION/DIAGNOSIS/*IMMUNOLOGY HLA-DR Antigens/BLOOD *Leukocyte Count Lymphocyte Transformation/*IMMUNOLOGY Risk Factors T-Lymphocytes, Suppressor-Effector/*IMMUNOLOGY T4 Lymphocytes/*IMMUNOLOGY MEETING ABSTRACT SOURCE: National Library of Medicine. NOTICE: This material may be protected by Copyright Law (Title 17, U.S.Code).