Ken Deen's THE AGGRESSIVE TRADER BUY ALERT 1339 Virginia Rd. Vol. 1, No. 38 Montecito, CA 93108 April 14, 1992 (805) 565-2039 CompuServe: 72020,2050 Stock+Options Account: (Note: The Stock+Options Account was introduced in Vol.1 #37.) * BUY 200 Professional Bancorp (Amex: MDB). I bought this today at 15. Model Portfolio: No trades Market Commentary My technical indicators are flashing a buy signal. I see a few confirmations of this buy signal: * First quarter earnings are starting to come in, with several important positive earnings surprises announced today, including, as I write this, IBM, Honeywell, Merrill Lynch, and Paine Webber. Wall Street has been waiting for favorable earnings news. Today, they got it. * The Federal Reserve eased the Fed funds rate by a quarter point last Thursday. Chemical Bank lowered the prime rate by a quarter point yesterday. * The consensus on the Street has shifted to an expectation of further easing by the Fed possibly next month. This contrasts with the previous expectation that we had hit bottom on interest rates. Discussion: Professional Bancorp Regional banks have been one of the strongest groups this year, both in terms of earnings growth and stock price appreciation. Professional Bancorp is a very small regional bank, with a float of less than a million shares. It is a holding company for First Professional Bank N.A., providing banking services through three California offices. Professional Bancorp has a very high earnings-per-share rank of 98, according to Investor's Business Daily. Last week, the company reported a quarterly profit of $1.37 vs. $0.25 a year ago, a 448% gain. Last January, earnings were up 311% at $0.37 vs. $0.09. The easing of the Fed funds rate bodes well for continued earnings growth. At a trailing P/E of 6, the stock is very attractively priced, in spite of recent price appreciation. The stock had been trading under $9 a share until breaking out in December. From there, the stock shot up quickly to a high of 14 in early January. It then took a dip, reaching a low of 9 just a couple of weeks ago. It immediately shot up again, pausing briefly at the previous high of 14 before closing at a new all-time high yesterday of 14 3/4. Yesterday's close represents a technical breakout from a three month base. Relative strength, according to Investor's Business Daily, is 93. The earnings growth is strong enough, in my opinion, to fuel much more price gains. A graph of Professional Bancorp appears on p.17 of today's Investor's Business Daily. - END -