Document 0438
 DOCN  M9490438
 TI    On the role of variable incubation periods in simple epidemic models.
 DT    9411
 AU    Malice MP; Kryscio RJ; Department of Statistics, University of Kentucky,
       Lexington; 40506-0027.
 SO    IMA J Math Appl Med Biol. 1989;6(4):233-42. Unique Identifier : AIDSLINE
       MED/94334608
 AB    The paper formulates a simple stochastic model which can be used to
       describe the early spread of an epidemic in a large population.
       Comparison of the behaviour of the epidemic under different assumptions
       for the distribution of the incubation period are made using the concept
       of partial ordering between random variables. It is shown that the
       process describing the infectious contacts between individuals has a
       major effect on the comparison of the different models. These results
       have important implications for modelling the AIDS epidemic.
 DE    Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome/*EPIDEMIOLOGY  *Epidemiologic Methods
       Human  *Models, Statistical  *Stochastic Processes  Support, U.S. Gov't,
       Non-P.H.S.  JOURNAL ARTICLE

       SOURCE: National Library of Medicine.  NOTICE: This material may be
       protected by Copyright Law (Title 17, U.S.Code).