Document 0291
 DOCN  M9550291
 TI    [When can tuberculosis be eradicated in Denmark?]
 DT    9505
 AU    Kok-Jensen A; Lungeklinikken/afdeling P., Bispebjerg Hospital,
       Kobenhavn.
 SO    Ugeskr Laeger. 1995 Jan 16;157(3):273-9. Unique Identifier : AIDSLINE
       MED/95149379
 AB    Eradication is here defined as a tuberculosis (tbc.) incidence below one
       case of contagious tbc. per million per year and a Mycobacterium
       tuberculosis (Mt) infection prevalence of 1% or lower and declining. The
       situation is evaluated separately for Danes and foreigners. Late cases
       of tbc due to Mt infection more than five years earlier will decline
       with declining Mt infection prevalence over 50 years. Early tbc. due to
       Mt infection within five years can with good case finding, effective
       treatment, and contact examination be kept at a level of 33% of late
       cases. Relapses are now 15% of all cases and will also decline
       relatively. HIV/tbc. will only be a limited problem for a few years due
       to a low Mt infection prevalence. Continued limited immigration will
       only have minor influence on tbc. among Danes. Tbc. in immigrants
       already living in Denmark will decline over 10-20 years to around
       20/100,000 but can not be eradicated in first generation immigrants. MT
       resistance will not be of importance for eradication. It is estimated
       that only major social disasters will be able to prevent eradication of
       tbc. among Danes by 2040.
 DE    Denmark/EPIDEMIOLOGY  Drug Resistance, Microbial  Emigration and
       Immigration  English Abstract  Human  Mycobacterium tuberculosis/DRUG
       EFFECTS/IMMUNOLOGY  Prevalence  Tuberculosis/*EPIDEMIOLOGY/PREVENTION &
       CONTROL/TRANSMISSION  JOURNAL ARTICLE  REVIEW  REVIEW, TUTORIAL

       SOURCE: National Library of Medicine.  NOTICE: This material may be
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