Document 0300 DOCN M9550300 TI The effectiveness of interventions on incubation of AIDS as measured by secular increases within a population. DT 9505 AU Hoover DR; Munoz A; He Y; Taylor JM; Kingsley L; Chmiel JS; Saah A; Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins School of Public; Health, Baltimore, MD 21205. SO Stat Med. 1994 Oct 15-30;13(19-20):2127-39. Unique Identifier : AIDSLINE MED/95149007 AB Methods are developed to estimate and test for the impact of intervention use on a population's survival function (time to AIDS). Each participant's history is divided into J + 1 components: omega 0 occurring before the intervention is available and omega 1 to omega J occurring later, as the intervention becomes successively more available. Distribution free truncated Kaplan-Meier models based on time since exposure fit separately to the risk sets/outcomes in omega 0 to omega J directly show the changing patterns of survival. Multivariate proportional hazards models can be used to adjust for covariates. Application of these methods indicates that availability of proven anti-AIDS interventions may have delayed time to AIDS by 8 months in an educated HIV-1 infected homosexual cohort with good access to medical care. DE Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome/EPIDEMIOLOGY/MORTALITY/ *THERAPY Age of Onset Cohort Studies Disease Progression Disease-Free Survival Homosexuality, Male Human HIV Infections/EPIDEMIOLOGY/MORTALITY/*THERAPY HIV Seropositivity/EPIDEMIOLOGY Male *Models, Statistical Multicenter Studies Multivariate Analysis Proportional Hazards Models Statistics, Nonparametric Support, U.S. Gov't, P.H.S. Time Factors Treatment Outcome JOURNAL ARTICLE SOURCE: National Library of Medicine. NOTICE: This material may be protected by Copyright Law (Title 17, U.S.Code).