SB PROP @ ARRL $ARLP026
ARLP026 Propagation DE KT7H
QST DE W1AW
Propagation Forecast Bulletin 26  ARLP026
From Tad Cook, KT7H
Seattle, WA  July 1, 1994
To All Radio Amateurs

Conditions during last week's Field Day were better than expected.
The K index on Saturday was zero most of the time, although it did
jump suddenly to four at 0600z on Sunday.  The big upset in
conditions didn't appear until Monday, when the K index reached
five.

For the near term expect low solar activity as the current sunspot
cycle declines.  Solar flux should peak around 90 this month from
July 10 through 14.  Look for moderate geomagnetic upsets centered
around July 9 and 16, and more severe problems around the end of the
month.

As low solar activity continues, there will be fewer openings above
20 meters, and DXers will have to look more toward 30 and 40 meters
for action.

Sunspot Numbers from June 23 through 29 were 35, 45, 54, 27, 23, 25
and 32, with a mean of 34.4.  10.7 cm flux was 73.1, 72.8, 73.1,
73.9, 73, 73.9 and 79, with a mean of 74.1.

The path projection for this week is from Anchorage, Alaska to the
Hawaiian Islands.

80 meters should be open from 0615z to 1415z, peaking around 0830z.
40 meters looks good from 0430z to 1600z, peaking from 0800z to
1230z.  30 meters may be open almost around the clock, with good
conditions from 0300z to 1700z, and the best times identical to 40
meters.  20 meters should be open from 0200z to 0900z.  The bands
above 20 meters do not look promising at this time.
/EX