SB PROP @ ARRL $ARLP045
ARLP045 Propagation DE KT7H
QST DE W1AW
Propagation Forecast Bulletin 45  ARLP045
>From Tad Cook, KT7H
Seattle, WA  November 4, 1994
To All Radio Amateurs
 
Solar activity was up last week, with the flux almost hitting 100.
Last weekend a coronal hole and the effects of a flare combined to
give us several days of high A indices in the thirties.  Conditions
have calmed a bit, although there is still the possibility of more
coronal hole caused disturbances this month.  The worst period will
probably be around November 19 and 20.  Look for the solar flux to
peak again near 100 around November 24 through 26.
 
For the CW Sweepstakes Contest this weekend we will probably have
decent conditions, with solar flux at 90 or slightly lower.
 
Sunspot Numbers for October 27 through November 2 were 87, 90, 92,
93, 89, 81 and 67, with a mean of 73.  10.7 cm flux was 93.1, 97.4,
98, 98, 96.6, 92.3 and 91.4, with a mean of 95.3.
 
This week we have a special pair of domestic path projections for
the Sweepstakes Contest.
 
For the path from California to New England, look for 80 meters to
open from 0000z to 1230z, and 40 meters from 2200z to 0230z 0630z to
0900z, and from 1200z to 1430z.  20 meters looks good from 1500z to
2100z.  There is a slight chance of 15 meters opening over this path
around 1700z to 2000z.
 
The path from Texas to Ohio should be good for 80 meters from 2130z
to 1430z, and 40 meters around the clock, peaking around 2300z to
1200z.  20 meters should be open from 1500z to 2130z.  15 meters
might be open from 1730z to 2030z.
/EX